Economic

"The Economist: Economiile est-europene se prabusesc. Situatia cea mai grava este in Romania si Bulgaria"

Prin ce minune AE, Emilian Andrei presupun, ajunge la concluzia asta? Facind abstractie de titlul bombastic al articolului, continutul nu justifica cu nimic preluarea, traducerea si afisarea titlui cu litere de-o schioapa. La sfirsitul mesajului gasiti toate referirile la Romania din articolul cu pricina. Dau o bere cind trec prin tara domnule jurnalist AE, daca sinteti capabil sa demonstrati oarece legatura intre continut si titlul

In paranteza fie spus domnule AE ar fi fost normal sa dati numele articolului pe marginea caruia v-ati cistigat piinea astazi.

In ceea ce priveste sursa predictiilor este dupa cum atragea atentia Don Giovanni, Oriens, o companie din ungaria care se declara plina de modestie
"the region’s largest locally owned M&A advisory and private equity fund management firm."
http://www.kilabalas.hu/about_oriens

Dupa cum afirma fac investitii in Ungaria, Romania si Bulgaria cu banii celor mai bogate familii din US si Europa. Emotionant...

Dupa cit sustin, aspira sa ajunga unul din cele mai importante centre de cercetari economice si ca pina atunci isi pierd timpul, resursele si banii in analiza celor mai importante probleme economice si sociale din zona.
Singurul studiu vizibil pe situl lor este "Recovery, a program for the economic revival in Hungary"

Pe unde zace studiul cu Romania habar nu am. Nu este pe situl lor, iar timp sa caut referintele la Romania in singurul studiu pe care l-au scris n-am.

In fine, referintele promise dlui AE. Presupun ca articolul este "East European economies crack, with Romania and Bulgaria the worst off" de la adresa
http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?story_id=12705968

Imi permit sa reproduc pasajele referitoare la Romania
[...]
"The biggest worries are now focused on Bulgaria and Romania, the poorest and worst-governed new members of the EU.
[...]
Romania has a current-account deficit of only 14% of GDP; a floating currency that gives it more flexibility; and is less dependent on exports to the slowing euro area than Bulgaria. But it may have a harder landing. Oriens forecasts GDP growth of just 0.9% next year. Its banking system is less profitable than Bulgaria’s. Although it is mostly foreign-owned, it looks wobblier; inter-bank rates have nearly doubled this year to 15%. Foreign reserves are scantier and the IMF reckons that the currency, the leu, may be overvalued by 19%.

Thanks to populist spending in the run-up to this week’s parliamentary election, the budget deficit may reach 3.9% of GDP by the year-end. That is not a lot by some standards, but it may still cloud outsiders’ willingness to provide more cash. Whatever coalition the election produces, serious reform is a long way off.
[...]